Observing this week and a thought on the effect of a hit on Car Fax
by
Robert Hollenshead
Dec 17 2011 12:40PM
This looks like it will be a December to remember as we will buy and sell over 2,000 units this month. My guess is that this has never occurred from a single location in wholesale history proving once again that the 17545 is the Wall Street of wholesale automobiles.
However, there are some atypical things happening. Over the past eight to ten years we have relied on a rebound in the junk market ($3,000-$8,000). It is not there this season. It typically starts after Thanksgiving when dealers are stocking trash to get ready for the tax check season. It’s not happening. This has always given us a good shot to help get through this time of year. The $1,800 Taurus brings $3,200 for a few months.
The export market has completely evaporated. Even Canada is a none-issue despite the US dollar being worthless against the Canadian currency. They just are not looking this direction to buy in a way that makes any dent in our market.
The bright sides that do exist are a very strong market for big, loaded, fat, trucks. There is also a little glimmer in the heavy import market. The Porsche, Maserati, A8, R8 thing is popping up a bit. Some action where there has been zero. Rentals are deader than dead and actually are having an effect on real cars as these guys are dumping.
More and more dealers are following vAuto theory and keeping cars they otherwise would wholesale. What this has led to is less hunger in the lanes at live auction. They are learning to sell what they trade in a way that has not happened before. They are looking a little harder at off brands they trade and use Dale’s method of a quick turn by pricing smart and getting the action needed to turn.
The other thing that has become very clear is the captives selling upstream. Look at the sales results in the captive finance lanes. They are getting absolutely crushed due to bad Car Fax units. The only cars they bring are the picked over, painted, bad Car Fax slop that there simply is zero market for.
If there isn’t a solution for this soon it will become a nightmare all the way back to the original owner that allowed any kind of bump on their car to be reported in a VHR. They will be the ones that ultimately will pay for the broken plates. Until then, the captive and the dealer are on the hot seat.
In the one in ten case where there really is a problem that is bad I say let the world know. But in the vast majority of cases a blanket hit on Car Fax is a disaster for the unsuspecting retail customer that allows his information to be exploited. It amounts to a 25% diminished value on the asset and the industry will eventually piss backwards on the retail customer. They will have to. That’s when it will backfire on the reporting company that currently is riding high on their monopolistic horse. It’s a very nice place to be in. Give out information that you have disclaimed and let the market dance to the music. When the consumer and the industry get tired of the music there will be a price to pay.
I am not a lawyer, but oh baby can I see a class action that will bite them on their backend. There are way too many lies in their information and they think they are protected by disclaiming the source that they use to diminish the value of millions of cars cross-sectionally? This will be interesting to watch as it plays out.
I am in the valuation business and my company values more automobiles than any entity in the world, Buy Book Technologies. I price and guarantee the price on millions of units every year. A hit on Car Fax crushes the value of any car regardless of what the reason might be. It smashes the desirability of the unit and limits who can buy. In my humble opinion, a new source of information that has skin in the game and can be verified in desperately needed to counter-balance the current marketing genius and semi deceptive, totally disclaimed, frequently deceptive, information machine.
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